SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

Home Prices, Interest Rates, Real Estate Statistics, Video and Charts

The Seattle Housing Market At a Glance

Seattle housing market update infographic

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3 KEY INDICATORS
Seattle Housing Market

  1. SALES ACTIVITY INTENSITY:
    • 39.3% (STRONG)
  2. INTEREST RATE:
    • 7.05% (MANAGEABLE)
  3. INVENTORY LEVEL:
    • 1.7 Months (SHORTAGE)

THE BIG DEAL

Buyer Confidence Surges; Market Momentum Builds Seattle’s housing market is gaining steam as mortgage applications and credit pulls rise year over year, proving buyers are back in action. Sales remain strong, inventory is tightening, and early-year momentum points to a competitive spring. For those ready to act, now’s the time.

Enjoy Our Seattle Housing Market Report Video


Seattle Housing Market Report: February 2025 – Buyers Hold Steady Amidst Low Inventory


"Seattle’s market is staying strong, with buyers adjusting to rates and competition heating up ahead of spring."

Seattle’s housing market remains active as we move into February 2025. Sales are holding strong despite interest rates at 7.05%, showing that buyers are adapting and moving forward. Inventory remains low at just 1.7 months, giving sellers continued leverage.

The average home price has climbed to $946,653, reflecting sustained demand even as days on market tick up to 54 days. Nearly 40% of homes are still selling within the first 30 days, meaning competition is present, especially in desirable price points.

With 1,149 new listings hitting the market but only 721 homes going pending, inventory is slightly building, offering buyers a few more choices—but not enough to shift the market out of seller-friendly territory.

Let’s break it all down.


Detailed Explanation of the 3 Key Indicators
  1. Sales Activity Intensity:

    • Definition: This metric reflects the percentage of homes that go under contract within the first 30 days of listing. It's a direct indicator of the market's temperature, showing how quickly homes are moving from listing to pending status.
    • Scale:
          • <25%: Buyer's market – low demand, homes take longer to sell.
          • 25%: Healthy market – balanced demand and supply.
          • 35%: Strong market – increasing demand, sellers have a slight advantage.
          • 45%: Very strong market – high demand, multiple offers are common.
          • 55%: Surge – very high demand, significantly more buyers than available homes.
          • 65%: Frenzy – extreme demand, homes sell extremely quickly, often well above asking price.
          • 75%+: Extreme frenzy – unprecedented demand, highly competitive conditions.
    1. Monthly Inventory Levels:

      • Definition: This measures the number of months it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace without any new listings being added. It's a critical indicator of market balance.
      • Scale:
        • 0-1 month: Severe shortage – extremely low inventory, seller's market.
        • 1-2 months: Shortage – low inventory, strong seller's advantage.
        • 2-3 months: Low – less inventory, leaning towards sellers.
        • 3-4 months: Healthy – balanced between buyers and sellers.
        • 4-5 months: Selectability – more options for buyers, slight buyer's advantage.
        • 5+ months: Buyer's market – high inventory, buyers have leverage.
    2. Interest Rates:

      • Definition: This refers to the average mortgage rate available to homebuyers. Interest rates are a significant factor affecting affordability and buyer demand.
      • Scale (not a fixed scale but commonly accepted ranges):
        • 3-4%: Excellent – very favorable for buyers.
        • 5-6%: Good – relatively affordable for most buyers.
        • 7-8%: Uncomfortable – can slow down buyer activity as financing becomes more expensive.
        • 9-10%: Challenging – high rates can lead to decreased demand and slower market activity.

    Each of these indicators plays a crucial role in interpreting the dynamics of the Seattle housing market. By analyzing trends within these metrics, we can better understand the forces at play, predict future movements, and strategize accordingly. Whether you're looking to buy a home, sell one, or simply keep an eye on market developments, these indicators provide the insights needed to navigate the complexities of Seattle's real estate landscape.


    Sales Activity Intensity™

    Current Effect:

    Seattle’s Sales Activity Intensity™ sits at 39.3%, slightly lower than January’s 44.2%, but still within the “strong” market range. Homes are taking longer to sell at 54 days on average, but demand remains steady, with buyers adjusting to market conditions.

    On average, homes are seeing 17 showings before going pending, meaning buyers are being more selective. 6.9 showings per active listing also signal that there’s competition, but homes may need to be priced strategically to move quickly.

    What This Means:

    📌 For Buyers: The market is competitive, but homes are taking longer to sell. Be patient, but be ready to act when you find the right home. Having your financing in order and working with an agent who understands market shifts will be key.

    📌 For Sellers: Homes are still selling well, but pricing matters. Overpricing may lead to sitting on the market longer. Staging and small improvements can make a big difference in attracting buyers quickly.


    Monthly Inventory Levels

    Current Effect:

    Seattle’s housing inventory has increased slightly to 1.7 months, up from 1.4 months last fall, but still indicating a shortage of homes. 1,577 homes were available this month, offering slightly more breathing room for buyers, but supply remains well below balanced-market levels (4-5 months).

    What This Means:

    📌 For Buyers: Inventory is slowly improving, giving you a little more time to weigh your options. But desirable homes are still selling fast, so be prepared to move quickly on well-priced properties.

    📌 For Sellers: Even with a slight inventory increase, low supply means leverage is still on your side. If your home is priced competitively and in good condition, expect steady interest and a strong sale price.


    Interest Rates

    Current Effect:

    The average mortgage rate for February sits at 7.05%, slightly up from January’s 6.99%. This keeps rates in the "uncomfortable" zone, but buyers are adjusting. Rates have remained relatively stable, providing some predictability compared to the volatility of the past two years.

    What This Means:

    📌 For Buyers: Affordability is still a challenge, but rates appear to be stabilizing. Locking in sooner rather than later can be smart, as the Fed isn’t expected to cut rates until later in 2025. Consider rate buy-downs, ARMs, or negotiating seller concessions to help ease costs.

    📌 For Sellers: Higher rates mean some buyers are more price-sensitive. Offering rate buy-downs or closing cost assistance can make your home more attractive, especially in price points under $1M.


    Overall Market Trends

    Seattle’s housing market remains competitive but slightly less intense than last month. Low inventory continues to support home prices, but buyers are taking their time with longer days on market and more showings per sale.

    Despite interest rates holding at 7.05%, buyers are still purchasing—just more selectively. With spring around the corner, we expect sales activity to increase as more buyers enter the market.


    Key Takeaways

    For Sellers:

    Price Strategically: Homes are still selling well, but overpriced homes are sitting longer. Work with an agent to set the right price.
    Stage & Market Effectively: Buyers are more selective, so staging and strong listing photos can make a big difference.
    Consider Incentives: With rates still high, rate buy-downs or closing cost contributions can attract more buyers.

    For Buyers:

    Get Pre-Approved: With demand steady, a pre-approval letter can give you an edge in competitive situations.
    Negotiate Creatively: Seller concessions and lender incentives can help with affordability.
    Be Patient, But Ready: Homes are taking a little longer to sell, so you may have more room to negotiate—but don’t wait too long on well-priced homes.


    Residential Resale, Condos & New Construction

    Resale Residential Homes:

    🔹 Average home price: $946,653
    🔹 Homes selling at 98.6% of list price—sellers still have solid negotiating power.
    🔹 54 days on market, meaning homes are sitting longer compared to last fall.

    Condominiums:

    🔹 Condos continue to be an affordable entry point, especially for first-time buyers.
    🔹 HOA fees remain a key factor—buyers should budget carefully.

    New Construction:

    🔹 Builder incentives (rate buy-downs & upgrades) are attracting buyers.
    🔹 Energy-efficient and modern design homes remain in high demand.


    The Fed’s Influence

    The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in their most recent meeting, signaling that they don’t expect cuts in the near term. While future rate drops are possible later in 2025, buyers should plan for current rates to remain steady for now.


    Seasonality

    February is typically a transition month as we move into the busier spring market. Buyers who get ahead of the rush may find slightly less competition now than they will in April or May.

    For sellers, listing now means less competition—but as more homes hit the market in spring, standing out will become more important.


    Strategic Insights for Buyers and Sellers

    For Sellers:

    Stage & Price Competitively – Buyers are more selective, so presentation matters.
    List Now to Capture Demand – Don’t wait for spring’s increase in competition.

    For Buyers:

    Get Pre-Approved – Rates are not expected to drop soon, so locking in now could be smart.
    Negotiate Seller Concessions – Many sellers are open to rate buy-downs or closing cost help.


    The Rent vs. Buy Conversation

    Seattle rents remain high, averaging $3,825 for a 3-bedroom home—comparable to a mortgage on a $700K home with today’s rates. For buyers planning to stay put, owning still provides long-term stability and equity growth.

    Entering February at Surge Intensity

    At the beginning of the year, we typically experience a seasonal low point of unsold inventory along with a low number of new resale listings coming on the market. With buyers coming out in bigger numbers after the holidays, the Sales Activity Intensity™ goes up for each new listing, especially in the mid-price ranges.J Lennox Scott


    LENNOX SCOTT

    CEO of John L. Scott Real Estate


    Lennox Scott
    Seattle Real Estate GRAPHS AND Data

    SALES ACTIVITY AND INVENTORY


    sales activity
    Current Effect:

    Seattle’s housing inventory sits at 1.7 months, down from January’s 2.4 months, reflecting an even tighter market. If no additional homes were listed, the city would run out of available homes in just over 51 days. This persistent low inventory continues to keep competition strong, particularly in desirable price points.

    In February, we saw:

    • 1,149 new listings hit the market
    • 449 homes sold
    • 721 homes went pending

    Properties priced between $500K and $1M+ remain the most in-demand, continuing to attract multiple offers.

    For luxury homes priced at $2M+, inventory is slightly more available, but competition remains present—especially in neighborhoods with top-rated schools and sought-after amenities.

    Why Does Low Inventory Matter?

    📉 Inventory below 5 months is considered “low”, and Seattle’s 1.7-month supply firmly keeps it in a seller’s market.
    📈 Low supply fuels higher demand, sustaining or even boosting home prices despite rising mortgage rates and a slower winter season.

    Key Takeaways:

    📌 For Buyers: Acting quickly is still critical. While homes are spending an average of 54 days on the market, the best properties—especially those between $500K–$1M—are getting multiple offers. Be pre-approved and ready to negotiate.

    📌 For Sellers: The ongoing inventory shortage means less competition, strong buyer demand, and sustained home values. Homes priced right and well-presented will continue to receive competitive offers, often at or above asking price.

    MARKET INTENSITY

    sales intensity
    Current Effect:

    In February, 39.3% of homes in the Seattle housing market went pending within the first 30 days, a slight dip from January’s 44.2%, but still solidly in the "strong" range. While this is above the typical 30% median market intensity, the slight decrease suggests buyers are becoming more selective as homes take longer to sell (54 days on average).

    Luxury homes priced between $1.5M–$2M continue to see strong demand, with 49.8% going pending within the first 30 days. Even in higher price ranges, competition remains steady—especially in neighborhoods with top-rated schools and high-end amenities.

    Although inventory has increased slightly, buyer demand remains robust. Well-priced homes in desirable locations continue to move quickly, while overpriced listings are sitting longer.

    Key Takeaways:

    📌 For Buyers: Preparation is key—while homes are sitting slightly longer, nearly 40% are still selling in under a month. Work with your broker, get pre-approved, and be ready to make a strong offer when you find the right property.

    📌 For Sellers: Demand remains in your favor, but strategic pricing and presentation are more important than ever. Homes that are priced competitively and well-staged will continue to attract serious buyers and sell faster, even in the luxury segment.

    PRICE

    Current Effect:

    The average sale price for homes in February 2025 is $946,653, reflecting continued price stability despite higher interest rates.

    • Single-Family Residences: $1,014,622
    • Condos: $753,491

    Compared to five years ago in February 2020, when the average home price was $824,879, this represents a 14.8% increase in overall home values.

    • Single-Family Homes: Up 23% in five years
    • Condos: Up 25.8% in five years

    The list-to-sale price ratio sits at 98.6%, meaning that homes are still selling close to their asking prices, showing steady buyer demand and realistic seller pricing.

    Key Takeaway:

    📌 For Sellers: Seattle’s market has shown consistent appreciation, making it a strong long-term investment. Well-priced homes continue to attract buyers, ensuring competitive offers.

    📌 For Buyers: Home values continue to rise, reinforcing the importance of buying sooner rather than later to secure long-term equity. Making informed, data-driven decisions now can lead to significant financial gains over time.

    TIMING

    yearly housing cycles

    Current Effect:

    According to the John L. Scott 6 Phases of the Yearly Housing Cycle, we are in the New Year Kickoff Phase, moving on an upward swing toward the big spring market. This phase typically sees:

    • Buyers re-entering the market after the holiday slowdown
    • Sellers preparing their listings for the competitive spring season
    • Increasing sales activity as more homes hit the market

    While still early in the year, February’s market intensity indicates that buyers are active despite higher interest rates. Sellers who list now can benefit from lower competition before the full spring rush.

    What This Means:

    📌 For Sellers: Now is a great time to list before spring’s inventory surge. Fewer homes on the market mean your listing stands out, attracting serious buyers.

    📌 For Buyers: More homes are coming, but waiting too long means more competition and potentially higher prices. Acting now could lead to better deals before bidding wars pick up in peak season.

    Seattle’s New Year Kickoff Phase is the calm before the storm of spring activity. Whether buying or selling, strategic planning now can give you the edge before competition heats up.



    JOB AND POPULATION GROWTH


    WA Unemployment Rate

    WA Employment Security Department

    Where Counties are Growing[Source: U.S. Census Bureau]


    Seattle Market Stats

    STATS PROVIDED BY: INFOSPARK

    • $946,653 was the average sold price for listings in Seattle.
    • 1,149 new listings went on the market this month.
    • 1,577 homes were for sale during the month.
    • 721 homes went pending in Seattle.
    • 449 homes sold this month
    • 1.7 months of inventory available in Seattle
    • 54 was the average days on market for a home to sell in Seattle
    • 98.6% was the average listing price vs. sales price percentage
    • $573 was the average price per square foot in Seattle
    • $425,047,242 was the total closed sales volume for Seattle
    • 7.05% was the interest rate
    • 39.3% of homes sold in the first 30 days in Seattle
    • 17 Average showings to Pending
    • 6.9 Showings per Listing

    SEATTLE HOMES FOR SALE



    SEARCH SEATTLE LISTINGS

    SEATTLE HOUSING MARKET Summary


    As we close out our analysis of the Seattle housing market for February 2025, it’s clear that the market remains highly active, even as we transition from the New Year Kickoff Phase toward the spring market surge.

    Homes are selling in an average of 54 days, with a 98.6% list-to-sales price ratio, reflecting sustained buyer demand despite high interest rates. Sales Activity Intensity™ sits at 39.3%, showing that while competition has slightly eased from January, nearly 4 in 10 homes are still going pending within 30 days—a strong signal of continued market momentum.

    Inventory remains tight at just 1.7 months, even with 1,149 new listings entering the market. Buyers continue to compete for limited options, keeping Seattle firmly in a seller’s market. However, sellers should stay mindful of pricing strategies as days on market increase and buyers become more selective.

    Interest rates currently stand at 7.05%, remaining in the "uncomfortable" range. While higher rates are impacting affordability, demand remains steady as buyers adjust their budgets and explore creative financing options.

    Looking Ahead

    📌 For Sellers: The low-inventory, high-demand environment still benefits you, but strategic pricing and strong home presentation will be key to maximizing your outcomes.

    📌 For Buyers: Be prepared to move quickly, especially in price ranges under $1M, where competition remains strong. Negotiating rate buy-downs or closing cost assistance with sellers may improve affordability.

    As we head toward the peak spring season, Seattle’s housing market is expected to gain even more momentum. Whether buying or selling, taking action now can provide an advantage before market activity intensifies.

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